Research

My work sits at the intersection of public opinion research, electoral behaviour, and environmental politics. I use quantitative methods — primarily survey experiments, panel data, and quasi-experimental designs — to study how citizens form political attitudes and translate them (or fail to translate them) into electoral participation.

Current Projects

Extreme weather and electoral behaviour. A comparative project examining how floods, heatwaves, and drought events affect party preferences and green party support across Western Europe. I argue that the electoral effect of climate shocks is mediated by attribution patterns and prior levels of institutional trust.

The socioeconomic bases of abstention. A long-running research programme documenting the growing class gradient of electoral non-participation in Italy and Southern Europe. Current work focuses on disentangling the roles of political disaffection, logistical barriers, and social isolation.

Political trust and its consequences. Together with colleagues, I am developing a cross-national study of the downstream effects of political trust on democratic engagement, drawing on a new comparative panel dataset covering twenty European countries.

Methods

I work primarily in R and Stata. I use multilevel models, panel data methods, regression discontinuity, and survey experiments. I am committed to open science practices: data and replication code for all published work are publicly archived.